Washington DC Weather Forecast: Milder Days, Patchy Clouds, and a Subtle November Cool-Down

The Washington DC weather forecast for early November 2025 brings mild temperatures, shifting clouds, and light weekend showers that usher in a crisp fall pattern. Local meteorologists report a calm stretch across the capital region, with temperatures holding near seasonal norms and only brief rainfall expected. For residents and visitors, the upcoming week promises comfortable days and clear nights perfect for sightseeing or late-autumn strolls.


Current Conditions Across the Capital

As of Friday, November 7, skies across Washington D.C. are mostly cloudy with scattered breaks of sunshine in the afternoon. Temperatures are trending around 61 °F (16 °C)—slightly above the long-term average for this date—while light breezes from the west keep humidity levels moderate.

The evening will cool efficiently, dipping to around 46 °F (8 °C) under partly cloudy skies. Air quality readings remain solidly in the “Good” range, meaning no health concerns for outdoor plans. For commuters crossing the Memorial Bridge or driving along Constitution Avenue, weather conditions will remain smooth through the evening rush.


Saturday Forecast: Clouds on the Rise, Showers Possible Late

Saturday’s pattern signals the approach of a weak cold front sliding from the Ohio Valley. Cloud cover will thicken gradually after sunrise, turning the sky a soft gray by midday. Forecast highs near 59 °F (15 °C) make for pleasant mid-autumn comfort before a possible round of light rain arrives by late afternoon or evening.

Rain chances stand at 30 – 40 percent, focused mainly between 5 p.m. and 10 p.m.. These showers are expected to be brief and light—just enough to dampen sidewalks without major accumulation. Winds will shift northwest at 10 – 15 mph, signaling a cooler, drier air mass poised to follow overnight.

For those planning Saturday outings, the morning remains the best window for outdoor activity. Farmers markets, Georgetown waterfront walks, or visits to the U.S. Botanic Garden should stay dry until sunset. Keeping a small umbrella handy for the evening remains wise.


Sunday Outlook: Clearing Skies and a Breath of Fresh Air

The departing front will leave behind a few lingering showers early Sunday morning, especially before 9 a.m. Once the system moves offshore, skies will brighten gradually. High temperatures will top out near 54 °F (12 °C)—a noticeable drop from Friday—but light winds and lower humidity will make for a refreshing autumn day.

By nightfall, temperatures will slide to around 42 °F (6 °C) under mostly clear skies. The crisp air and improved visibility will create excellent stargazing conditions over the city’s monuments and open plazas. From the Lincoln Memorial steps to Capitol Hill rooftops, Sunday night should feel distinctly autumnal yet comfortable.


Extended Washington DC Weather Forecast (Monday – Thursday)

The early week pattern remains steady and seasonably cool, dominated by high pressure centered over the mid-Atlantic. The result will be a string of partly sunny days and dry conditions—ideal for commuters, pedestrians, and outdoor events across the city.

DayHigh (°F)Low (°F)ConditionsWind
Monday (Nov 10)5843Partly Sunny, DryLight NW 5–10 mph
Tuesday (Nov 11)6044Mostly SunnyVariable 5 mph
Wednesday (Nov 12)6245Fair, MildCalm
Thursday (Nov 13)5943Mix of Sun & CloudsNE 5–8 mph

No significant precipitation or severe weather is expected through midweek. This quiet stretch aligns with seasonal averages and should deliver several days of calm travel and outdoor comfort across the D.C.–Maryland–Virginia corridor.


Understanding This November’s Pattern

Early November marks a transitional phase for the capital’s climate. Daylight continues to shorten rapidly, but the atmosphere still holds residual warmth from early autumn. Average highs sit near the upper 50s, while overnight lows drift into the low 40s. This week’s readings—hovering from 58 °F to 62 °F by day—fit perfectly within that range.

Meteorologists note that the jet stream remains positioned north of the region, preventing any major cold outbreaks from descending toward the mid-Atlantic. However, a gradual cooling trend is likely during the second half of the month as Arctic air masses begin to push farther south.

For Washingtonians, that means sweater weather will linger comfortably for a while longer before true winter chill arrives in late November or early December.


Local Impacts and Seasonal Activities

The stable Washington DC weather forecast benefits both residents and travelers this weekend. Tour operators and city event planners can expect minimal weather disruptions:

  • Tourism: The National Mall, Lincoln Memorial, and Smithsonian Museums remain fully accessible, with comfortable walking temperatures and low rain risk outside Saturday evening.
  • Outdoor Sports: Local soccer leagues and running groups will see excellent conditions Sunday and Monday, with firm fields and light winds.
  • Commuting: Visibility stays strong, and roadways should remain dry for most of the forecast period. Metro and bus services are not reporting weather-related delays.
  • Photography & Sightseeing: Sunday afternoon through midweek should deliver great natural light and sharp skyline views, especially from vantage points like Hains Point or the Kennedy Center Terrace.

This stretch also provides a scenic backdrop for capturing D.C.’s late-season foliage. Many trees in Rock Creek Park and the Capitol Hill area retain deep orange and golden hues, though peak color is expected to fade by mid-month.


Temperature Trends at a Glance

PeriodAverage High (°F)Forecast High (°F)Difference
Early November (30-yr avg)5860+2
Mid November Projection5557+2
Late November Projection4951+2

Temperatures holding slightly above normal suggest a mild start to the city’s late-fall season. Heating demand remains moderate, and energy analysts project below-average residential usage for early November due to the gentler weather trend.


Regional Comparison

Surrounding cities mirror D.C.’s conditions:

  • Baltimore: Highs near 60 °F Saturday with light rain in the evening; clearing Sunday.
  • Richmond: Slightly warmer, reaching 63 °F Saturday before cooling to 56 °F Sunday.
  • Philadelphia: Cloudy Saturday, highs 58 °F; a brief shower before turning sunny Sunday.

This widespread pattern across the mid-Atlantic underscores the region’s shared calm weather phase—no severe systems, only passing clouds and light moisture.


Potential Late-Week Shift

While early week conditions remain tranquil, long-range outlooks hint at a modest change late next week. A developing low-pressure system over the Great Lakes could drag another front toward the east coast around Friday, Nov 14 – Saturday, Nov 15.

At this point, models show a 40 percent chance of renewed showers for the D.C. area, followed by a sharper cool-down. Daytime highs could fall back into the upper 40s, marking the first real taste of pre-winter chill. Forecasters emphasize that this outlook is still several days out but worth monitoring.


Air Quality and Health Notes

The mild temperatures combined with steady airflow are keeping pollutants in check. The Air Quality Index (AQI) for the Washington Metro area stands in the Good category—typically below 50 on the AQI scale. This favorable reading supports outdoor activities for sensitive groups, including children and older adults.

Pollen counts are low as most fall allergens have tapered off. Those with respiratory conditions will find the weekend’s crisp, dry air especially comfortable.


Waterfront and River Forecast

The Potomac River remains calm, with levels steady near normal flow. Minor tidal variations are expected during Saturday’s evening rain, but no flooding is anticipated. Boaters and paddleboarders planning early-morning sessions Sunday should encounter gentle currents and light wind, though water temperatures continue to cool—now near 57 °F—making cold-water safety gear important.

Along the D.C. waterfront, weekend foot traffic is projected to rise thanks to the mild forecast. Cafés and markets in The Wharf and Georgetown are preparing for outdoor seating through early afternoon hours before the Saturday drizzle approaches.


A Closer Look at November’s Climate Outlook

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center continues to project a slightly warmer-than-average November for the mid-Atlantic, with near-normal precipitation totals. This implies balanced conditions: mild days, periodic rain, and little sign of extreme cold or heavy storms through month’s end.

Historically, D.C. averages about 3 inches of rainfall and only traces of snow in November. Current data suggest the city remains on track to meet that normal range. With consistent temperatures and manageable humidity, local parks and green spaces are expected to maintain favorable soil moisture without excessive mud or dryness.


Preparing for the Weeks Ahead

Even as conditions stay gentle now, residents are encouraged to check home heating systems and weatherproofing before the next cold snap arrives. Overnight lows near 40 °F may soon dip into the 30s, especially toward Thanksgiving week. Ensuring windows and door seals are tight will help conserve warmth as winter approaches.

Drivers should also verify that windshield-wiper fluid and tire pressure are ready for colder mornings, particularly as dew and light frost become more common.


What the Mild Forecast Means for Events and Travel

  • Veterans Day Ceremonies (Nov 11): Skies are projected mostly sunny with highs around 60 °F—ideal for outdoor memorial services and parades.
  • Weekend Markets: Eastern Market and Dupont Circle farmers markets will operate under pleasant temperatures; only slight risk of light showers Saturday evening.
  • Travel: Reagan National and Dulles Airports anticipate smooth operations, with no significant wind or visibility issues through mid-week.

This tranquil outlook gives D.C. a rare stretch of predictability in its typically variable fall season.


Summary

Overall, the Washington DC weather forecast through mid-November 2025 promises mild afternoons, comfortable evenings, and just a touch of weekend rain. Friday stays partly cloudy and calm, Saturday brings scattered showers late, and Sunday clears beautifully with cooler, crisp air. Early next week continues fair and dry before another weak front possibly develops later in the month.

The capital’s climate remains squarely in its autumn sweet spot—gentle, scenic, and perfectly suited for exploring monuments, parks, and neighborhoods before winter settles in.


Enjoy the calm skies ahead, and share in the comments how this fall weather is shaping your weekend plans or favorite outdoor spots around D.C.!

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