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Key Points Summary
- Fall 2025 will be warmer than average in most U.S. regions
- The western half of the country faces especially high temperatures
- Below-average rainfall is predicted almost nationwide
- The Northeast and the Midwest are expected to be cooler and drier
- Active hurricane season could affect the Eastern Seaboard
- Vibrant fall foliage possible in the Northeastern U.S.
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The Old Farmer’s Almanac fall forecast has just arrived, delivering essential insights for anyone planning ahead for the coming autumn. According to this year’s projections, nearly all regions in the United States should prepare for a season that stands apart from recent memory—especially as extreme summer heat transitions into an unusually steamy fall.
For those eagerly awaiting crisp air and vibrant leaves, the 2025 forecast is packed with surprises. The old farmer’s almanac fall forecast anticipates that the western half of the U.S.—from California to the Pacific Northwest, Heartland, and Texas—will see notably higher temperatures. Residents in the Southeast, Atlantic Corridor, Deep South, Florida, as well as Alaska and the Intermountain states, should also expect a warmer-than-usual autumn.
In contrast, the Northeast, Appalachians, Lower Lakes, Ohio Valley, Upper Midwest, Desert Southwest, and Hawaii can look forward to cooler-than-average conditions. This moderation in temperature, paired with below-average rainfall, means the much-loved autumn colors in New England and nearby regions could be especially vivid this year.
Recent projections highlight a striking divide:
| Region | Temperature Trend | Rainfall Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| Western U.S., Florida | Warmer than normal | Below average |
| Northeast, Upper Midwest | Cooler than normal | Dry, but with bursts |
| High Plains, Pacific NW | Slightly above normal | Chance of rain |
| Southeast, Deep South | Warm and dry | Drier than usual |
| Ohio Valley, Appalachians | Cooler stretch | Light precipitation |
Meteorologists at the Old Farmer’s Almanac base their forecasts on a blend of solar activity, historical weather cycles, and atmospheric patterns—a formula refined for over 230 years. For fall 2025, the dominant factors are strong summer heat retention and shifting jet streams, contributing to sustained warmth well into October for much of the country. Rain’s expected to be in short supply almost everywhere, with exceptions for the High Plains and parts of the Pacific Northwest, where umbrellas might still be needed.
Hurricane season remains a concern, extending through November. The old farmer’s almanac fall forecast warns of above-normal storm activity this year. Coastal residents and those in areas frequently hit by autumn storms should monitor weather updates and be prepared for possible severe events, as noted by recent tropical storm data and long-term models.
People in New England and the Upper Midwest are in for classic “sweater weather” much earlier. September temperatures in the Northeast could average around 59°F—almost 2 degrees below the seasonal norm. Rainfall here may only total 3–3.5 inches for the month, with an even drier October ahead. Early flurries in October are possible in elevated regions, especially if temperatures remain low at night.
As for fall experiences—pumpkin patch visits, apple picking, and leaf peeping—these are looking to be extra memorable in regions like New York, Vermont, Maine, and New Hampshire thanks to the cooler, drier weather and reduced chance of heavy rain. Warm spells may sneak in occasionally, but overall, a significant portion of the country will spend more time in short sleeves than sweaters until the leaves finally drop.
While the Old Farmer’s Almanac isn’t always 100% spot on, its track record hovers near 80% for long-range seasonal outlooks. This gives many Americans the confidence to use these forecasts to organize travel plans, farm routines, and outdoor events. The biggest message for fall 2025? Expect warmth to linger, dryness to dominate, and, if you love autumn’s traditional chill, plan a trip to the Northeast or Midwest to catch those rare brisk breezes and unbeatable foliage.
If you’ve got thoughts on this year’s almanac predictions or your region’s outlook, drop a comment to let us know what you’re most looking forward to—or dreading—about the new fall season!